![]() ![]() What to Look for When Betting the Grand Salami There are still plenty of low-scoring games most nights, but the number of games that are going five or six (or ten) runs over their individual totals are simply outpacing the number of games staying under by similar margins. Over the last 16 days, the average RPG for the day has been over 10.0 on 11 occasions. As long as both teams score at least one run - which is happening at a rate of 97% - then every game will have at least three runs. ![]() And, as you might have guessed, 1-0 games are extremely uncommon. A game with a total of 9.0 can only, at maximum, stay eight runs under the total. There’s No Upper Limit to the Number of Runs in a GameĪn MLB game can only stay a limited number of runs under the total. So then shouldn’t there still be value on the Grand Salami under if the individual totals have been increased commensurately with the increase in MLB scoring? That’s a marked difference from years prior. Scour the board on any given night and you’re a lot more likely to see a 9.5 O/U than an 8.5 O/U this season. Average Runs Per Game (via Baseball Reference)īut wait, why don’t sportsbooks inflate the totals for individual games? Good question. ![]()
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